The arguments against open source AI are bad
128 points - today at 4:49 PM
SourceComments
Photoshop source code + OSI license = open source
Photoshop binary = open weight
Photoshop SAAS web app = closed model like GPT, Opus/Fable etc.
There is nothing "open source" about the Chinese models in question. All they're doing is allowing you to run their binary yourself instead of through their API.
If you want actual open source then you would need to look at like OLMo 2
Some people would say it is reaching some sort of singularity. Even if you don't buy into a more sci-fi interpretation of this, there are pretty grounded arguments one could make that there is some sort of "goal" in AI development that, if realized, would effectively make it a superweapon. Altman has been pretty vocal about his expectation that this will eventually happen and that it is his goal to be the guy to produce it. Even if it isn't some superintelligence, the ability for a machine to do something like, say, exploit cybersecurity weaknesses, is pretty worrying for entities like governments. It's the pretense used when we saw the US government ban a US model recently.
Again, you don't have to buy that "the singularity" is a real thing, but it's not hard to see that some people think some version of this is real and it is exactly what is being referred to as the goal in an "AI race."
Will there ever be a way to fully audit Chinese models?
> It's theoretically possible for a bad actor to embed hidden adversarial behavior in a model. But if this happens, it serves the interests of responsible actors to find these exploits as soon as possible, and the best way to do this is to let anyone who wants to inspect them.
This is a bad argument. It isn't trivial to tell if the weights have poisoned:
``` https://www.thedeepview.com/articles/microsoft-how-to-spot-a... https://futurism.com/future-society/easy-poison-open-weight-... https://semgrep.dev/blog/2026/ai-supply-chain-problem/ ```
I'm not arguing in favor of closed-AI; I'm simply saying poisoning may be subtle.
I was gonna say that at least the frontier labs may be motivated to not-poison their own models, but then Anthropic just attempted to poison Fable's LLM training capability so... sigh. I'll try not to derail.
The US has already been set back a decade or more by anti-science and anti-intellectual purges of agencies and formerly non-partisan positions. A ban on open models would be pretty much game over for the US as a tech leader. But, Anthropic would make a lot of money for a couple of years, so, who can say what's right?