Anthropic IPO valuation hinges on $190-200B 2028 revenue forecast

35 points - today at 9:00 PM

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Comments

zackify today at 9:33 PM
The world doesn't make sense to me. I use 5.6 Luna. Deepseek v4 flash 0731. And kimi k3. Don't even need claude anymore at their insane prices for anything I do.
tolugenius today at 9:41 PM
> "Could they (Anthropic) get a $2 trillion valuation, yeah they could and I just wonder if it would stay there over time"

Can someone explain exactly how the market can in any sense support not one but two trillion dollar valuations (referencing spacex as the first)? (I imagine openai will likely be in the same ballpark) genuinely we're reaching "elementary levels of big funny number" in the market.

chrisXOXO today at 10:41 PM
Idk, but for me it is ridiculous, people still doubt these valuations. SpaceX was of course non sense. But to value those companies lower than 1 trillion??? Please, link some source to change my mind.
bzmrgonz today at 11:20 PM
China keeps eating their lunch tho, have you guys seen the new deepseek harness?? Get ready to have your mind blown.
rvz today at 11:09 PM
Anyone believing that this company will surpass Nvidia's revenue in 2028 is seeking a lot of exit liquidity to dump hundreds of millions of their stock after the first earnings release.

> The projection dwarfs the $47 billion revenue "run rate," reflecting the firm's current pace of business, that the company publicized as recently as May, and shows the scale of growth investors are being asked to underwrite.

Never do they account for competition, risks, delays, lawsuits and geo-political issues. Seems like this is massaged to get tens of millions of retail traders holding an expensive designer bag that is riddled with holes.

iamleppert today at 9:53 PM
I love Claude but as soon as there is a viable replacement and I get around to it, I’m gone. I have zero loyalty to a chatbot and when the interface is just text the cost of switching is up to my personal whims.
christkv today at 9:35 PM
What market size do they think AI will be in 2028 to give that prognosis.
Gys today at 9:43 PM
I cannot read the article. Does it say anything about profit?
Taikhoom10 today at 10:23 PM
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nbcu1985 today at 9:44 PM
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deleted today at 9:50 PM