We're gonna need a lot more mathematicians
328 points - today at 2:46 AM
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Until very recently, I pored over every single line of code Claude generated with razor sharp scrutiny. I would usually catch issues with every response. I'm catching fewer problems these days. Maybe the model is just getting better, and maybe I'm being less careful while under pressure to ship more and more often. But model capability is obviously growing. Even back in March, you could tell it "give me a function that adds two numbers" and you could be 100% confident that it would write the correct function. There was almost no point in looking at the code. Since then, the complexity floor of problems in the category "this is so simple that the model couldn't possibly get it wrong" is rising, and with it, my cognitive surrender to the model is increasing too. Why check it? It's obviously going to be correct.
If AI designs a terawatt fusion plant, then of course we're going to meticulously pore over every detail to ensure safety, reliability, efficiency, whatever. If we find no flaws in the design whatsoever, will we be less careful about the second one? The third one? What about the ten thousandth one? Will "a nuclear fusion plant" become something that models couldn't possibly get wrong?
Terence Tao is arguing that the human involvement in research is crucial, but doesn't convincingly justify why, in my opinion. He says that "human agency is a value of fundamental importance" and that we will need to build "thriving human communities that can understand [AI ideas] together" - not for the sake of correctness, which AI may surpass us on, but for, I guess, the possibility of reclaiming human meaning and purpose. I don't disagree with this at all, but it's not an argument, it's a statement of values. Unfortunately, the stark reality is that if AI does surpass humans, it will become the economically dominant strategy to not verify them and not double check them, but to just do whatever they say. This seems like a great way to raise p(doom). But as the models get better and better, and as I'm scrutinizing Claude's output less and less... I just hope that there are more Terence Taos out there than people like me.
At least this is my observation: when my colleagues have been wholesale chucking stuff over to Claude, they've then been confronted with classic XY-Problem shit, poor user experiences, and over-complex solutions (which will mount future problems regardless of whether a person or an agent iterates on that code). Much of this can be solved by actually sitting down and thinking about it, and I mean at a code design level, not just a speccing level.
Many people don't realize that there are more useful outputs to solving a problem than just a mere solution. Obviously if one has a contractor mindset (you don't care about the after effects of a system) then this is of no relevance to you. Some companies promote that mindset, certainly ones that have no broader aspirations then getting acquired soon. That's fine - but many companies actually are about sustainability, and understanding in these places is paramount.
Thereās some hubris in thinking we can understand everything. For truly difficult problems, itās entirely possible that humans are simply incapable of comprehending why a solution is true. But ultimately the practical value of applying that solution to the real world is going to eclipse our need to understand it.
Math is just the beginning. I see it happening in other fields too, like physics and biology. Many of us software devs have already given up on understanding parts of our own systems for the exact same reason.
Seems like a losing battle.
What the article really says is that we're going to need much smarter mathematicians. That is not possible for puny meat-brain humans. Humans are close to their ceiling. AIs are just getting started.
In practice, we're probably going to hit that limit first in IC design. I once went to a talk by the Intel engineering manager who headed the Pentium Pro effort. That was the first superscalar x86 CPU, and it took about 5,000 engineers at peak to design it. Getting that many people coordinated on one thing was a real achievement. Then Intel stayed with minor tweaks on that design for years.
We're soon going to be seeing designs of even greater complexity cranked out by AIs. No human will understand them at the gate level. Reading AI-written programming language code is bad enough. Reading AI-written Verilog may be beyond human comprehension, except in small sections.
See proofs never before possible made by someones intuition.
But maybe they wont be mathematicians.
Why would mathematicians be the best at this or even able to contribute? Engineers and physicist seem like a much better choice. Mathematicians tend to not bother with messy things like whats physically possible, or human consequences etc.
Tao has been posting a flood of guest posts that stress inevitability and coping. Tao is fully invested in AI but needs to have the appearance of a broad discussion.
Sahai is of course exuberant about AI but wants to keep UCLA enrollment numbers high. The comments on Tao's blog are far less friendly than here, because by people see through the game that is being played.
Just look at the latest industry friendly post from Tao, where he pretends that it somehow summarizes the discussion so far:
https://terrytao.wordpress.com/2026/09/25/iciam-statement-on...
For my whole life I have never been subjected to an industry coordinated advertisement campaign that ruthlessly harnesses YouTubers, TikTokers, professors, open source people who all go in lockstep.
Tao, Gowers et.al. will go into history as the professors who ruined math.
You can't simply prompt a model to be "better" when "better" isnt even properly defined
> Our ability to understand difficult and unfamiliar ideas may become one of the most important contributions we can offer to society. We should be willing to bring that skill to problems far beyond our usual research interests. [3] Doing so asks us to expand our sense of our vocation.
Am I reading this wrong, or is he talking about what (mathematitian) Data Scientists have been doing for years? So he is basically saying that former Data Scientist that have turned into prompt/software engineers should go back to being data scientists.
In any case, people should stop trying to fit AI in the previous status quo. What we need is curious people, that is what we have always needed.
A few centuries ago there were no "mathematitians", there were mathematitians/philosophers/artists/physicists all in one person. So its not like "mathematitias" is something that has existed for millenia.
We need curious and ethical people.
Maybe AI brings back the age of a well rounded scientist/philosopher. I know this sounds counter intuitive because the article is saying that we cannot keep up with the AI.
Iām fairly confident that the opposite will be true. The most important decisions will be made by AI, and humans will only be left to guide decisions as a matter of taste. AI has the ability to be impartial, and immutable. You can endlessly probe and reason its decisions.
This isnāt true of our current human decisions. Where we see red tape, bureaucracy, rent seeking, status quo. AI will see through these human constructs.
I do like the idea that we will need more mathematicians, physicists, and scientists to understand the discoveries of AI. That might be the best possible outcome of AI, but I fear the opposite and we are painting ourselves into a corner of which we no longer have the knowledge to sustain ourselves and society itself collapses.
today they benefit from human willingness to share publicly and improve ai systems, but once those systems start to threaten their livelihoods, will those dynamics change? can the machines push the frontiers or is the global network of human creativity and tenacity necessary?
Not Terrence Tao post. Beware.
Humility is the wrong word. We didn't feel it when the steam engine was introduced, so why now?
In a world with ASI, having that capacity is vital.
It will be as it always has been: these ideas will further enrich the rich, at the expense of everyone else. We'll have our first quadrillionaire, while the masses are debating whether the minimum wage of $7.25/hr should be bumped up.
It really looks like Tao is on the path of accepting and embracing AI now.
Or it as with other professionals: shortage means shortage of cheap labor.
This is an unfortunate example to choose, being as it is entirely confounded by the canonical illustration of the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_triviality.
I propose we enact a new law that makes it so ai engineers can only fly on ai designed planes powered by ai designed engines flown by ai. Maybe then we'll get some real progress out of this slop producing crapware or the problem will be solved a different way.
I canāt afford to be one of your credentialed reserves, Amit. ADHD screwed me over in early life or Iād have breezed through that dual masters in cognets/compsci by 2003, and now that Iāve stabilized my brain and am burning through years of school at a rapid pace, my countryās socioeconomically ruined ā Iāll be lucky to escape with my accounting degree as my school is visibly being sucked into the vortex every year I progress. The only hope left for me to be what you need of us is to self-study, but without a degree Iāll just be treated as a crank or an AI proxy/puppet if I slip up and talk about interesting math with anyone, so whatās even the point of taking that path? I originally pivoted my math skills into systems theory and process diagnostics instead, which of course now everyone has kicked to the curb and replaced with AI. Iād have made an excellent Susan Calvin ā I was working to be a cognitive tech with diagnostics, zeroth law, and group psych specialties, AMA! ā but the financial investment to provide the runway to take that lonely, dreary six year slow as molasses slog through maths that universities think is somehow an appropriate teaching velocity (six months for precalculus alone?!) in order to earn the mere chance to have my resume rejected by an AI firm that uses AI hiring and and canāt tolerate someone with a strong moral position regarding societal harms is a very bad choice, whether you use simple probability or game or systems theory to evaluate it. Taking that quarter-mil-plus burden as loans in the hopes of employment at the other end in a field actively having its social, reputational, and moral fabric being ripped apart by AI? Thatās not just a bad bet, thatās chasing foolās gold at the end of a fading rainbow in a desert mirage. So, with sincere apologies, while youād benefit from having me on your āreservesā list (I have written testimonials spanning some twenty-plus years to that effect) Iāll never come to your attention as a support tech or as an accountant, and I accepted that outcome years before anyone else realized this need for cogsci mathematicians with a teacherās specialty of analogy-building and the ability to disregard interpersonal nonsense to focus on the needs of societies. Better luck with the next generation, though!
I imagine:
* Massive budget overruns
* Year and year of delays
* It ending up wasting more energy than it produces, or just not working, period
* Politicians disclaiming responsibility and blaming it on "the AI"
* The contractor companies profiting immensely over the entire period, and ending up not having to worry about maintenance, warantees, etc.
I wonder if the current maths models, if any, are able to use formal solvers in their 'reasoning'. I wonder if a natural language interface is really that efficient, maybe a pure formal language hinted with intuitive "tokens". I remember the time I was learning real maths: "elegant", "brutal", "strong", etc were somewhat meaningfull.
No matter how good your case is - if you use AI slop to spam text, I will not read it. At the least they admitted to this sneaky slopness, which saves me time. I'd wish everyone would do so.
Watch me get downvoted some more. Nobody cares about the truth, we now know thanks to our beautiful president Trump telling us about that and the Fake News.
There's, like, one, two at most, mathematicians who are really thinking outside the box. The rest are like sheep. Or cult members with mass psychosis.
Waste, Fraud, and Abuse people are coming to academia, which is so hopelessly parasitised by the left.